Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.465054 0.531782 0.601428 0.679265 0.763546 0.851784 0.950878
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.388573 0.484312 0.589687 0.713162 0.852782 1.004725 1.181536
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.312884 0.425077 0.555104 0.714296 0.901355 1.111766 1.363902
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.271912 0.399280 0.553741 0.749945 0.987783 1.262332 1.598770
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.225905 0.360217 0.530901 0.755779 1.036625 1.368748 1.784120
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.188695 0.326780 0.510450 0.760860 1.082173 1.470357 1.964497
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.163048 0.305133 0.502178 0.779047 1.142643 1.589845 2.167453
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.143529 0.289239 0.499318 0.802622 1.209122 1.716864 2.380809
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.126698 0.274789 0.496490 0.824836 1.273194 1.841067 2.591852
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.105990 0.250804 0.477228 0.822256 1.303102 1.921293 2.748186
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.092187 0.236172 0.470141 0.835486 1.353441 2.027609 2.937998
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.076735 0.215859 0.452122 0.831180 1.378648 2.100689 3.085580
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.059712 0.189476 0.422259 0.808037 1.377425 2.139837 3.191723
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.051482 0.179212 0.417856 0.822630 1.429193 2.249901 3.391054
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040568 0.160446 0.396850 0.809940 1.440876 2.305667 3.519631
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036686 0.157270 0.403029 0.840085 1.515048 2.447057 3.762480
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.029998 0.145260 0.391751 0.841194 1.546080 2.529409 3.927599
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.024471 0.134606 0.381780 0.843522 1.578411 2.613498 4.095497
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021078 0.129086 0.381152 0.861086 1.633650 2.729832 4.307573
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018621 0.125733 0.384436 0.885105 1.698820 2.860525 4.539911
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.016368 0.122319 0.387194 0.908089 1.762590 2.989783 4.771296
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.012796 0.112535 0.375420 0.904904 1.785455 3.061030 4.924050
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.010706 0.107535 0.373442 0.918740 1.834836 3.170345 5.129565